Metals Melt, Trumps new Fed Pick, Housing Flat


Romeo Razi, CPA

Feb 2nd

If you blinked, you missed the biggest metals meltdown in decades.

Friday was not just another day at the market. As the finance-bros like to say, "it was a bloodbath."

Especially, for the precious metals that spent the last few months whispering sweet nothings in our ears. Turns out that they are as "precious" as a Tinder situationship.

Here's the damage:
🧈 Gold fell 11–12%
🥈 Silver tanked 25–30%

All in a single day.
Biggest one-day drop since parachute pants (think "Studio 54", think the '80s).

So, what happened?

Looks like there are two culprits:

💴 The Yen-Carry Trade Unwinding
💼 Trump picked his new Fed chair (Kevin Warsh)


What is the Yen-Carry Trade?

Yen-Carry Trade (which sounds like a ⚡Pokémon character your kid would be excited about) is Wall Street's favorite way to say, “Let’s borrow free money from Japan and YOLO it into US assets.”

In finance-bro-speak, it's called an "arbitrage" strategy.
In plain English: it’s an interest rate hack.

Here's how it works:

🪙 Step 1: You borrow $$$ in Yen
↳ Japan’s interest rates are near 0%
↳ It’s basically free money

💵 Step 2: Convert to USD
↳ Flip those Yen into dollars

📈 Step 3: Buy higher-yield assets
↳ US Treasuries
Gold, Silver (my precious)
↳ Anything paying more than the Bank of Japan (BOJ)

💰 Step 4: Pocket the difference
↳ Earn 4–5% on your US assets
↳ Pay nothing on the Yen loan
↳ Live the finance-bro dream

⚠️ But here's the catch…

💥 If the Yen gets strong
↳ Your debt from Japan becomes more expensive
↳ You start bleeding money
You get margin-called faster than you can say “Shōgun”
↳ Finance-bros move back into mom's basement.

That’s why the carry trade cracked. BOJ’s rate hikes caught traders with their pants down, and the selling started.

But this has been going on for a little while, the main thing which freaked everyone out on Friday was Trump's Fed pick.


😬 Why did Kevin Warsh Freak Out Traders

Trump said he’d pick a Fed chair who’d cut rates. But the market took one look at Walsh and said: "Hell no. This guy ain't cutting nothing. No way. No how."

🧠 Warsh has a hawkish past
↳ He's very critical of the Fed, and its balance sheet
↳ Known for being tough on inflation (no cuts for you).
↳ Not the guy you’d call 👨🏻‍✈️"Captain Stimulus"

💥 So markets got confused
↳ Is Warsh going to cave to Trump?
↳ Or tighten policy like Tall Paul (Volker)?

📉 That uncertainty crushed metals
↳ The dollar spiked
↳ The world thinks Warsh is J Pow v2.0
↳ 🧈🥈Gold and Silver sold out. Like lifeboats on the Titanic

Well, in markets there’s an old saying: “When the music stops, you don’t want to be holding the glitter.”

Unfortunately, too much precious metal "glitter" went around at the end of 2025.


🏠 Housing Corner

Interest rates jumped the last couple of weeks. All the news is that housing's stagnant, and owners aren't lowering prices fast enough.

On top of that, POTUS meandering in the Middle East isn't instilling any confidence in the housing market back home.

💹

Interest Rates


6.43%

🏡 🏡 🏡
Inventory


705,663

🧊

Days on Market


126 days

Here's a quick list of the housing stats over the last 1 weeks:

🏠 Mortgage rates: 6.43% (up a quarter point)
📈 Inventory: 705,663 homes (up sellers, less buyers)
📉 Price reductions? 33.4% (overall pricing adjustments still going down)
💰 Median list price? $434,900 (but median prices going up)
🕰️ Days on market? 126 (moving a little quicker).


Market Highlights

Everything down. Appearantly markets don't like war.


~ S&P 500 $6,369 (-2.81%)

~ Nasdaq $20,948 (-4.16%)

~ BTC $66,468 (-5.75%)

~ Silver $68.90 (-1.48%)

~ Gold $4,489 (+0.40%)


🚨Upcoming Tax Deadlines you should be aware of:

🚨Two more weeks!

🗓April

  • 🏢April 15th - C Corporations (techies, I'm talking to you)
  • 🏢April 15th - Doomsday.
  • 🏢April 15th - 2026 Q1 Estimated Tax Payment due

🗓May

  • 🏢May 15th - Non-profit tax returns due.

What's been going on with your Favorite CPA

I'm in the thick of it but I still find time to listen to podcasts (especially financially related ones.)

Here's a really good one I recommend:

I heard of most financial gurus and speakers, but I had never heard of David Bach, but I had heard of his bestselling books, "Smart women finish rich" & "the automatic millionaire".

He had really great money advice, I hope find time you listen to it.


Until next time ❤️

Romeo Razi, CPA

Taxedright.com

600 1st Ave, Ste 330 PMB 92768, Seattle, WA 98104-2246
Unsubscribe · Preferences

Tax Ticker

A weekly newsletter for people who want to understand money without needing therapy afterward. I cover accounting, tax, and finance the way they should be taught. Simple, sharp, and with a sense of humor. If knowledge is power, this one’s your caffeine shot.

Read more from Tax Ticker

Romeo Razi, CPA Mar 29th 👴🏻Social Security is running out fast 🛡️Social Security is the government pension system that was created by F.D.R. during the Great Depression as part of his "New Deal". Unfortunately, the "New Deal" is starting to look a lot like a scheme Charles Ponzi would be proud of. It used to be a very safe asset, but between LBJ's '68 Unified Budget (think Vietnam war) and Greenspan's '83 Budget Reform (when the surplus started getting too big), Congress decided to do what it...

Romeo Razi, CPA Mar 15th 😶The State of Washington just did a boo-boo. The State of Washington, famous (among tax aficionados) just made a spectacular U-turn on one of their most coveted and prized policies: No State Income Tax. The legislature has been asked to vote on a state income tax 10 times. Ten times they said "Nay." Ten times, voters treated the idea like a bad Gen Z blind date. Declined politely, and ghost👻. Then came March 10th, 2026. A date that will live in Seattleite tax infamy....

Romeo Razi, CPA Mar 1st 😶Yes, I am still alive People ask me (when they get a hold of me), "Romeo, what did you do yesterday?" Here is my day, in a nutshell: 7am: go to gym 🏋️ (weights) 8am: 💻tax work until 10am. Deep focus. No Mercy. 10am: breakfast 10:30am: 💻tax work until 1pm 1pm: protein smoothie 1:25pm: 💻tax work until 4pm 4pm: rest for 30 minutes, calculate macros on app, what I'm eating tonight 4:30pm: gym 🏋️round two (cardio) 5:30pm: make dinner 👨🍳(it's therapy, I swear) 6-6:30pm:...